21st October

Solar activity was moderate. Region 2192 (S15E26,
Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) produced four M-class(NOAA Scale R1, minor)
flares and several C-class events over the past 24 hours. The largest
flare was an M4/2n event at 20/1637 UTC. Region 2192 continued to grow,
reaching approximately 2400 micro-hemispheres by 21/0137 UTC.

New Region 2194 (S14E64, Dao/beta) rotated onto the visible disk and was
numbered. The remaining two spotted regions were stable or decaying.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

More M-class flares (R1-R2, minor to moderate) are likely from Region
2192, keeping solar activity at moderate levels. There is a slight but
persistent chance for an X-class (R3 or greater) flare over the next
three days (21-23 Oct) from this same region.

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