13th November

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2205 (N14W45, Dac/beta-gamma)
exhibited slight decay in its trailer spots, consolidation in the
intermediate and leader spots, and was fairly inactive during the
period. Region 2207 (S09E09, Hax/alpha) was quiescent again this period.
Region 2208 (S12E22, Dsc/beta-gamma) was responsible for the majority of
the flare activity, producing several C-class flares. Although this
region had an overall decrease in areal coverage, it did increase to a
beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region 2209 (S15E69, Hsx/alpha) had
additional spots emerge from around the east limb, which are believed to
be the leader spots associated with returning old Region 2192. This
region was responsible for the largest flare of the period, a C8 flare
at 12/0607 UTC. Regions 2210 (N05E39, Axx/alpha) and 2211 (N08W33,
Bx0/beta) were numbered during the period, but were stable and
unremarkable. No Earth directed coronal mass ejections were observed
during the period.

.Forecast…
Solar activity is expected to increase, with M-class flares
(R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) likely for days one through three (13-15 Nov).
The remainder of Region 2209 is expected to rotate on to the visible
disk, Region 2208 is expected to become more active, and the continued
presence of Region 2205 all combine to keep a slight chance for X-class
(R3-Strong or greater) flare activity for day one (13 Nov), increasing
to a chance on days two and three (14-15 Nov).

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