11th November

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2205 (N15W15,
Dkc/beta-gamma-delta) again produced the largest flare of the period, a
C6 flare at 11/1122 UTC. This region exhibited slight growth in its
intermediate spots, but decreased in overall areal coverage. New region
2208 (S12E50, Cao/beta) exhibited growth in its intermediate spots, near
the trailer spot area. This spot group has begun to show signs of
activity, producing several optical flares during the period. The rest
of the spotted regions were relatively stable over the period. No
Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.

As Region 2205 continues to transit the visible solar disk, solar
activity is expected to be low with a chance for moderate conditions
(R1-R2(Minor-Moderate)) on day one (11 Nov). Increasing flare activity
with M-class flares likely and a chance for X-class (R3 or greater)
flare activity for days two and three (12-13 Nov) is expected. Further
significant flare activity is possible as old Region 2192 (S12, L=263)
is expected to rotate around the east limb late on day one (11 Nov), and
is expected to be the likely source of increased solar activity.

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